1. Market Snapshot
Dubai’s real estate market maintained its impressive growth streak through the first three quarters of 2025, achieving AED 499.5 billion in total sales — a 33% year-on-year (YoY) increase.
Transaction volumes hit 158,300 deals (+21% YoY), while the average price per sq. ft. rose to AED 1,600 (+8% YoY).
This consistent upward trend highlights Dubai’s resilient property sector, supported by strong investor confidence, population growth, and expanding buyer diversity across both the off-plan and ready segments.
2. Market Segments
Off-Plan (First Sale) Properties
- Sales Value: AED 324.2 billion (+33% YoY)
- Transactions: 108.6K (+26% YoY)
- Average Price: AED 1,700/sq. ft. (+5% YoY)
Off-plan transactions continue to dominate Dubai’s total sales activity, fueled by a wave of new project launches and strong take-up in emerging communities such as Dubai South, JVC, and Wadi Al Safa 5.
Resale Market
- Sales Value: AED 175.3 billion (+31% YoY)
- Transactions: 49.7K (+11% YoY)
- Average Price: AED 1,500/sq. ft. (+11% YoY)
- Capital Gains: AED 56 billion (+66.6% YoY)
The secondary market remains highly active, with strong resale profits driven by limited ready-stock and heightened demand in well-established areas such as Dubai Marina, Business Bay, and JVC.
Mortgage Market
- Total Value: AED 132.5 billion
- Transactions: 38K (+29% YoY)
- Average LTV: 72.6% (-5.5% YoY)
Although mortgage transactions are up, the average Loan-to-Value (LTV) ratio has declined slightly, reflecting higher cash contributions from both end-users and wealthy investors — signaling a more stable, equity-driven market.
3. Supply & Development Activity
- New Units Launched (YTD): ≈ 118,500 (steady vs. 2024)
- Active Developers: 2,061
- Agencies: 9,003
- Registered Agents: 30,332
Developers have maintained record-high activity levels for a second consecutive year, with a strong focus on villa communities and affordable apartment clusters.
While this expansion showcases confidence in Dubai’s demand cycle, analysts note the need for close monitoring of absorption rates going into 2026.
4. Top-Performing Areas (YTD 2025)
Apartments – Off-Plan
Apartments – Resale
- JVC – highest resale activity
- Dubai Marina – mature, stable demand
- Business Bay – high transaction turnover
- Downtown Dubai – cooling slightly after record 2024
- Al Merkadh – growing buyer interest
Villas – Off-Plan
- Al Yelayiss 1 – leading with exceptional absorption
- Al Yufrah 1 – consistent sales strength
- Madinat Hind 4 – showing steady growth
- Dubai Investment Park Second – increasing popularity
- Wadi Al Safa 5 – resilient performance
Villas – Resale
- Wadi Al Safa 5
- Al Yelayiss 1
- Al Hebiah Fifth
- Dubai South
- Al Yufrah 1
5. Key Market Insights
- Resale profits soar: Capital gains up 67% YoY, indicating quick resales and strong investor liquidity in established communities.
- Developers remain confident: Over 118,000 new units launched again in 2025 — signaling sustained optimism in long-term demand.
- Financing trends mature: Mortgage activity rises while LTV ratios fall, suggesting financially sound, equity-rich buyers.
- Global capital continues to flow: High-net-worth investors from Europe, Asia, and the GCC continue fueling demand for Dubai’s tax-free and high-yield property assets.
- Diverse market momentum: Core districts like Downtown Dubai and Marina are stabilizing, while emerging zones are witnessing double-digit growth.
6. Outlook – Q4 2025 and Beyond
Dubai’s real estate market is on course to exceed AED 650 billion in annual sales by the end of 2025 — another all-time high.
- Short-Term: Continued strength from off-plan transactions and foreign capital inflows.
- Medium-Term Risks: Potential oversupply in fringe areas and tighter global liquidity.
- Opportunities: Growth corridors such as Dubai South, Al Yelayiss 1, and Wadi Al Safa 5 remain prime entry points for investors.
Final Takeaway
Dubai’s property market remains firmly in an expansion phase, supported by sustainable demand, controlled leverage, and broad-based investor confidence.
Despite aggressive developer activity, new inventory continues to be swiftly absorbed — a sign of enduring market health.
All indicators point to a bullish outlook for 2025, with positive momentum expected to carry into 2026, reinforcing Dubai’s status as one of the world’s most dynamic and resilient real estate markets.